Kadro HQ
Oyuncu Analizi
Her oyuncu, FPL puanlama kurallarına dayalı çok faktörlü modelle skorlanır: beklenen gol/asist (xGI), clean sheet olasılığı, defensive contribution, kurtarış ve duran top görevi. İsme tıkla → 5 sezonluk detay.
| # | Oyuncu | Poz | Fiyat | Model | 5hf | xGI/90 | ICT | DC/90 | Duran top | Form | xP | Sahip% | Δ£ | Fiyat sinyali |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | RayaARS | GK | £6.0m | 4.71 | 24.8 | 0.00 | 57.5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 4.0 | 37.4 | 0.0 | — | |
| 2 | PopeNEW | GK | £5.0m | 4.52 | 23.6 | 0.01 | 70.7 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 2.6 | 1.3 | 0.0 | — | |
| 3 | MamardashviliLIV | GK | £5.0m | 4.29 | 22.6 | 0.00 | 27.5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 2.6 | 0.2 | 0.0 | — | |
| 4 | DonnarummaMCI | GK | £5.5m | 4.28 | 21.8 | 0.00 | 68.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 3.3 | 8.2 | 0.0 | — | |
| 5 | MartinezAVL | GK | £5.0m | 4.25 | 21.8 | 0.00 | 79.2 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 2.6 | 4.4 | 0.0 | — | |
| 6 | A.BeckerLIV | GK | £5.5m | 4.23 | 22.4 | 0.00 | 47.8 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 3.3 | 3.4 | 0.0 | — | |
| 7 | RoefsSUN | GK | £5.0m | 4.22 | 20.7 | 0.00 | 93.1 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 2.6 | 4.5 | 0.0 | — | |
| 8 | VerbruggenBHA | GK | £4.5m | 4.20 | 20.4 | 0.00 | 94.7 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.9 | 21.8 | 0.0 | — | |
| 9 | LammensMUN | GK | £5.0m | 4.17 | 22.0 | 0.00 | 63.7 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 2.6 | 16.9 | 0.0 | — | |
| 10 | KelleherBRE | GK | £5.0m | 4.16 | 21.2 | 0.01 | 93.8 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 2.6 | 5.8 | 0.0 | — | |
| 11 | SelsNFO | GK | £5.0m | 4.12 | 21.1 | 0.00 | 74.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 2.6 | 1.6 | 0.0 | — | |
| 12 | SánchezCHE | GK | £5.0m | 4.11 | 21.4 | 0.00 | 86.7 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 2.6 | 2.3 | 0.0 | — | |
| 13 | PickfordEVE | GK | £5.5m | 4.04 | 20.6 | 0.01 | 90.8 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 3.3 | 7.9 | 0.0 | — | |
| 14 | LenoFUL | GK | £4.5m | 4.01 | 19.7 | 0.00 | 81.5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.9 | 3.1 | 0.0 | — | |
| 15 | PetrovićBOU | GK | £4.5m | 4.00 | 20.0 | 0.00 | 82.4 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.9 | 3.3 | 0.0 | — | |
| 16 | DubravkaTOT | GK | £4.0m | 3.85 | 19.1 | 0.00 | 97.9 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 20.1 | 0.0 | — | |
| 17 | KinskyTOT | GK | £4.5m | 3.67 | 18.2 | 0.00 | 10.3 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.9 | 24.3 | 0.0 | — | |
| 18 | PerriLEE | GK | £4.5m | 3.65 | 19.0 | 0.00 | 32.2 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.9 | 0.6 | 0.0 | — | |
| 19 | M.BizotAVL | GK | £4.5m | 3.10 | 15.9 | 0.00 | 13.9 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.9 | 0.1 | 0.0 | — | |
| 20 | TraffordLEE | GK | £5.0m | 2.92 | 14.9 | 0.00 | 11.9 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 2.6 | 3.0 | 0.0 | — | |
| 21 | JohnNFO | GK | £4.5m | 2.77 | 14.1 | 0.00 | 5.7 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.9 | 0.1 | 0.0 | — | |
| 22 | EllborgSUN | GK | £4.5m | 2.74 | 13.6 | 0.01 | 7.4 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.9 | 0.1 | 0.0 | — | |
| 23 | WoodmanLIV | GK | £4.0m | 2.45 | 12.5 | 0.00 | 8.4 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 1.1 | 0.0 | — | |
| 24 | ArrizabalagaARS | GK | £5.0m | 2.23 | 11.3 | 0.00 | 2.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 2.6 | 0.1 | 0.0 | — | |
| 25 | DarlowMUN● | GK | £4.5m | 2.11 | 11.1 | 0.00 | 53.4 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.4 | 0.0 | 0.0 | — | |
| 26 | HendersonCRY● | GK | £5.0m | 2.07 | 10.9 | 0.00 | 84.7 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 2.0 | 2.1 | 0.0 | — | |
| 27 | MeslierARS | GK | £5.0m | 2.00 | 10.0 | 0.00 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 2.6 | 0.0 | 0.0 | — | |
| 28 | SuzukiAVL | GK | £5.0m | 2.00 | 10.0 | 0.00 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 2.6 | 0.6 | 0.0 | — | |
| 29 | TraversEVE | GK | £5.0m | 2.00 | 10.0 | 0.00 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 2.6 | 0.0 | 0.0 | — | |
| 30 | RulliMCI | GK | £5.0m | 2.00 | 10.0 | 0.00 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 2.6 | 0.0 | 0.0 | — | |
| 31 | HorníčekNEW | GK | £5.0m | 2.00 | 10.0 | 0.00 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 2.6 | 0.6 | 0.0 | — | |
| 32 | JörgensenCHE● | GK | £5.0m | 0.00 | 0.0 | 0.00 | 7.9 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | — | |
| 33 | BayindirMUN● | GK | £4.5m | 0.00 | 0.0 | 0.01 | 12.8 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | — | |
| 34 | VicarioTOT● | GK | £4.5m | 0.00 | 0.0 | 0.00 | 72.2 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.4 | 0.0 | — |
Model = 90dk'da tahmini FPL puanı × oynama güvenilirliği (form-bağımsız, underlying istatistiklere dayalı). 5hf = önümüzdeki 5 haftanın fikstür zorluğuyla ağırlıklandırılmış toplam. DC/90 = defensive contribution. Δ£ = sezon başından fiyat değişimi.
🤖 Oynama güvenilirliği, 3 sezon (~77k maç) üzerinde eğitilmiş bir ML modeliyle tahmin edilir (görülmemiş sezonda AUC 0.907). Sezon ortasından itibaren devreye girer; ilk haftalarda heuristik kullanılır.
💰 Fiyat sinyali, net transfer momentumundan fiyat yönünü tahmin eden ayrı bir ML modeli (softmax). Kesinlik değil, eğilimdir: en güçlü yükseliş sinyallerinin ~%40'ı gerçekleşir (base %2). Transferler başlayınca dolar.
🍀 = Understat underlying'e göre getirisi beklenenin altında (şanssız, patlaması yakın) — differential fırsatı. İsme tıkla → tam Understat dökümü (npxG, xGChain, xGBuildup).